koganbot: (Default)
South and southwest Texas, scattered bits of Oklahoma, Louisiana's northern fringe, almost all of Mississippi, the bulk of Alabama (minus the very top and the Mobile area), the eastern fringe of Arkansas, southwest and northeast Georgia, South Carolina (most of it), southeast Virginia, central Kentucky, south central Ohio, the Baltimore area, most of New Jersey, all but the western part of New York, Vermont's middle third, and bits of Arizona and New Mexico and Colorado: what these have in common, according to a NY Times map, is that they all increased their vote for Obama compared to 2008 (while most of the country was decreasing its vote for him). And if we click on the 2008 map, most of those counties had shifted towards Obama in comparison to Kerry four years earlier (therefore they weren't shifting back this year from a Republican shift four years ago).

Since I was eyeballing a nondetailed map, which I'm assuming was county by county, I certainly missed things. E.g., I wouldn't be surprised if some of the small blue dots in Arizona came from counties with most of the state's population. Southeast Louisiana and those parts of Arizona seem to be the only two places that shifted back from a Republican shift four years ago (McCain, being from Arizona, got a larger vote there than a Republican would have normally).

ExpandSpeculation regarding demographics )
koganbot: (Default)
Another election, another marijuana initiative. I usually find them comic, since even if they pass there's no way for them to go into effect. But the weirdness* around medical marijuana — which has been de facto legal in Colorado for the last several years now; about a year back, whenever I was on the southbound Broadway bus, I'd count the medical marijuana dispensaries between Bayaud and Evans, usually'd get a number around 18; think it's higher now — makes me believe some of these initiatives may accomplish something. But then, I don't know what they'll actually accomplish, or which way I'm about to vote. I get distracted by my dislike of the ads (come on, the issue is not that Colorado is overlooking a great source of tax revenue). Maybe a cumulative impact of such initiatives will be to push the U.S. towards a sane drug policy. But then, I don't know what a sane drug policy would be. In the meantime, if we actually legalize it, that might normalize it, increase its use** and, in some people, abuse. But then, I'm not in favor of banning alcohol and cigarettes, so...

Colorado initiatives have been a disappointment this year, in comparison to years past when, e.g., the purity of alcohol and the historical nature of the Colorado constitution were tied at the waist. (See Koganbot (2008): "Historical character of Colorado Constitution at risk.") The best we do this year is an initiative instructing our representatives in congress to support a constitutional amendment that would reverse the Supreme Court's Citizens United ruling. (That's not exactly what it says; it would make campaign finance limits constitutional.) This bugs me 'cause it requires something that the voters don't have the authority to do: instruct congress people how to vote on a particular issue. Our only actual authority is to vote them in and out of office. I don't like initiatives that contain instructions that can't go into effect or are unconstitutional themselves, and it would have been easy enough to write the initiative to be strictly advisory. But I'll vote for it.

ExpandThere's a presidential race, too )

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Frank Kogan

July 2025

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