Re: Synchronicity

Date: 2016-11-04 10:43 pm (UTC)
koganbot: (Default)
From: [personal profile] koganbot
Forgot to list Aly tweeting pro-LGBT.

Unfortunately I don't think the segment of evangelicals that Trump is losing is all that big. It's big in raw numbers, but not so big in percentage. A Public Religion Research Institute poll after the bus tape had Trump's support down to 65%* of white evangelicals (compared to Romney's 79%), but a Pew poll two months earlier had it at about 75%, and I'd guess that Trump will get many of those he lost back, as he's getting them back elsewhere (though many such voters will claim to be reluctant) — and actually poll dips often overregister dissatisfaction: that is, on the heels of bad news, supporters of a candidate are less likely to answer public opinion pools, but as their momentary unhappiness fades, poll numbers go back up. My wrist-flick Google searches aren't finding any truly recent polls.

It's @alyandaj's out-and-out support for Hillary that seems notable to me.

Here's a fun piece from Marie Claire about evangelical women who are publicly supporting Trump and secretly voting for Clinton.

*The Reuters poll that was cited in the Slate article you linked had Trump only 1% ahead of Clinton among evangelicals, but I'm guessing it wasn't distinguishing between white and nonwhite or Hispanic evangelicals. And again, it was after the tape, before Trump made his recent comeback. Btw, I think the comeback has more to do with the voters recognizing that this is a binary choice, and coming home to a Republican nominee, than it's owing to the FBI bullshit; though when I say "I think" it means "the people who tend to be convincing to me think."
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Frank Kogan

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